Does anyone have information on 'prediction of a (violent) conflict?' Are there any prediction tools  or an early warning system developed for this? Perhaps other tools that can be used? Thank a a lot!

Tags: conflict, predition, question

Views: 562

Reply to This

Replies to This Discussion

Dear Rene,
As far as I know the African set-up of Continental Early Warning Systems can

Hi,

Please have a

HAve you looked at the FEWER tool?

HI All

As noted in an email I sent all members, there is a small issue with some discussion replies (the issue will hopefully be fixed in a week). For now when you're doing replies, please click on the html box in the right hand corner to ensure your postings show up and check after hitting add reply.

We developed this system for UNLoCK. A similar system can easily be developed that would include a predictive model. Of course, the accuracy of the predictions would be the problem. Take a look... www.camp.thegadflyproject.org

Dear Rene,

 

The WFP recently produced this interesting paper: http://www.wfp.org/content/occasional-paper-24-food-insecurity-and-... .  It discusses their analysis of the underlying causes of violent conflict.  Global Map Aid are responsible for mapping indices of poverty and it could be a useful tool for predicting where violent conflict might arise.  Also, I really liked this project, which is working on information analysis for predicting where and when crisis might occur: www.recordedfuture.com.


Also, GIS expert, Christine Broenner and myself recently put together this crowdmap, which might be a useful resource for you in looking for those involved in Conflict Early Warning Systems (it is a crowd-sourced resource, which will grow as people add their own entries, so if you don't find what you're looking for now it may have something relevant for you in the near future)...keep your eyes peeled! And good luck. 

 

Best wishes, Laura



Thanks a lot for all the replysr. However, as you will have noticed yourself only a few ones can be seen due to the problems this website is experiencing. I repeat what Craig suggested:

As noted in an email I sent all members, there is a small issue with some discussion replies (the issue will hopefully be fixed in a week). For now when you're doing replies, please click on the html box in the right hand corner to ensure your postings show up and check after hitting add reply

Thus if those who are concerned could follow this suggestion so I can read their earlier replys. Thanks a lot and be assured this is a great help for my research.

Hi, Thanks for checking and requesting tools which could be used to predict . To anticipate the potencial conflicts over lands, and other armed conflicts in Mindanao, community based early warning early response mechanism would be very useful. it is belong to fourth generation method that is used to monitor and and provide proactive interventions to prevent the spill over to other fragile areas in conflict affected areas.

Jeya- Nonviolentpeaceforce, phillippines

RSS

Sponsored Link

Please Pay What You Can to Support PCDN

Please consider Paying What You Can to help PCDN grow. We encourage you to consider any amount from $1 and up. Read the SUPPORT page prior to making a payment to see PCDN's impact and how your payment will help.

Sponsored Link

Translate This Page



PCDN NETWORK TWITTER FEED

PCDN Guidelines and Share Pages

By using this site you're agreeing to the terms of use as outlined in the community guidelines (in particular PCDN is an open network indexed by Google and users should review the privacy options). Please note individual requests for funding or jobs are NOT permitted on the network.

Click BELOW to share site resources Bookmark and Share
or Share on LINKEDIN


FOLLOW PCDN on TWITTER, FACEBOOK or GOOGLE+

Google+

 

© 2014   Created by Craig Zelizer.

Badges  |  Report an Issue  |  Terms of Service